TAG by Oui Capital · Volume II

Off the ChartsThe Afrobeats Export Economy

Afrobeats didn't win because Africa's market grew. It won because the world paid for it. This report looks at who gets to keep more of that value, and the businesses that can make it last.

181 pages of research and analysis 5 investment theses In partnership with Livespot
Cover of Off the Charts: The Afrobeats Export Economy
Global recorded music, 2025$31.7B
The argument

Afrobeats doesn't have a demand problem. It has a value-capture opportunity.

Sold-out arenas, record streaming numbers and a whole season of people flying into Lagos for Detty December all say the same thing: people want this music, at home and abroad. The harder question is how much of that demand turns into income for the artists, rights holders and businesses who created it. Right now, a lot of it slips through.

The proof

African creative IP can win over higher-paying global audiences and earn more than home markets alone could fund. That's the export economy, and Afrobeats is its clearest example.

The gap

Metadata, rights registration, royalty collection, touring finance and cross-border payments still lag behind the audience. Demand is growing faster than the systems built to earn from it.

The opening

Afrobeats catalogues are still being formed. For long-term builders and investors, that looks closer to an early-stage venture than a mature catalogue deal.

2025 in numbers

The world is listening. The money is catching up.

A global industry still growing, an African region growing even faster, and one stat that shows how much value is still on the table.

$31.7BGlobal recorded musicAn 11th straight year of growth, up 6.4%
+15.2%Sub-Saharan Africa growthOne of the fastest-growing music regions in the world
+22%Afrobeats listening on SpotifyGlobal growth in a single year
30.3BStreams by Nigerian artistsEarning a record $39.4M on Spotify
0.4%Share of Spotify's global payoutRecord earnings, still a sliver of an $11B+ pool
$2.0BLagos nightlife economyTAG estimate, alongside $273.5M spent over Detty December

Sources include IFPI Global Music Report 2026, Spotify Loud & Clear 2025, MO Africa and TAG by Oui Capital field research. Full methodology and notes are in the report.

Investment map

Five ways in.

The opportunity isn't one company or one revenue stream. The report sets out five distinct businesses that can turn the same cultural demand into cash flows investors can underwrite, each with its own capital needs, returns and risks.

  1. 01
    Create the IP

    Integrated label

    Develops artists, builds catalogue and runs the commercial engine that helps that IP grow in value over time.

    Indicative check$8M–$15M
  2. 02
    Administer & license the IP

    Rights & licensing infrastructure

    Captures more of the income from music that's already being used, and brings in new licensing deals on behalf of rights holders.

    Indicative check$8M–$15M
  3. 03
    Route the audience

    Touring & promotion

    Builds touring routes across Africa and beyond that actually work, combining ticket demand, local delivery, sponsors and careful tour-by-tour budgeting.

    Indicative checkPilot, then facility
  4. 04
    Coordinate the spend

    Culture circuit

    Runs recurring cultural properties and the layer around them, so audience, venue, brand and guest spending become measurable and repeatable.

    Indicative check$5M–$12M
  5. 05
    Extend the artist

    Artist brand & trademark company

    Deepens brand relationships and runs artist-owned product ventures, with the artist keeping ownership of the brand and equity.

    Indicative check$2M–$6M

Capital ranges are TAG's illustrative estimates for underwriting purposes, not financing commitments. See the report's research basis and disclaimer.

Inside the report

Follow the audience. Track the money.

Five sections that take you through the whole story, with original interviews and field research in Lagos alongside the global data.

01

Executive summary

Why Afrobeats is becoming an asset class institutions can take seriously.

02

State of the market

Global revenue, regional growth, the value-capture gap, Lagos and Detty December.

03

The revenue stack

Streaming, licensing and IP, brand partnerships, and the economics of live and touring.

04

Rights, capital & institutions

Why labels matter, the five stages of value, and how catalogues earn.

05

Reframing the future

What it takes to turn global demand into a lasting asset class by 2030.

The voices in this report

From the label floor to the term sheet.

Operators, rights experts, promoters and investors who are building the industry shared what's working, what isn't and what comes next.

Kupanda's investment in Mavin showed us the power of patient capital: the time and resources to build a music business, not just fund individual songs.
Peter Tega OghenejoboPresident & COO, Mavin Global
A rights-licensing platform must speak to industry needs, involve rightsholders, and ensure transparency and accountability.
Angela NdambukiRegional Director, Sub-Saharan Africa, IFPI
Promoting live music across Africa is, at its core, a working-capital business built on disciplined, tour-level budgeting.
Julien van WykFounder & Director, Music Republik
A successful event isn't enough to prove you've built a business. You need evidence of returning audiences, ticket sales and brands willing to commit.
Gbolade OkeowoDirector, Kuramo Capital Management; Founder, Wave Daddy Sounds
Culture is our currency. We must build the businesses, ownership and partnerships that allow our people to share in its value.
Dr Adesegun Adeosun JrPresident & Founder, SMADE Group; Co-founder, Afro Nation
Nigeria's music revenue system is broken: artists depend on a few income sources while other forms of monetisation remain underdeveloped.
FOZALead Legal Consultant, Zaeda Oracle Limited
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  • 181 pages of data, field research and interviews
  • Five investment theses with indicative capital ranges
  • A close look at Lagos, Detty December and the nightlife economy
  • Market comparisons across Nigeria, South Africa, Ghana, Kenya and Tanzania

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